Research Seminars & Workshops @ IRES

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Adverse Selection in Private Mortgage Securitization - Evidence from Loss Given Default

Professor Abdullah Yavas
Wisconsin School of Business

Date: 28 March 2018 (Wednesday)
Time: 4.00 – 5.30pm
Venue: Seminar Room Level 1, I-Cube Building
Chair: Associate Professor Sing Tien Foo

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Abdullah_Yavas

Speaker's Bio:
Abdullah Yavas holds the Robert E. Wangard Real Estate Chair and is the department chair of Real Estate and Urban Land Economics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison's Wisconsin School of Business. His research interests include real estate brokerage, mortgage contracts, real estate auctions, economics of information, and experimental economics. Yavas has authored or co-authored more than 60 articles in peer-reviewed journals on real estate, finance, and economics.

The results of his research have been cited in some of the nationally known publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Time, Money, BusinessWeek, The Philadelphia Inquirer, and Boston Sunday Globe. Yavas is the editor of Real Estate Economics and a Fellow of Real Estate Research Institute. Yavas also serves on the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. In 2018, he was elected as the second vice president of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association. He will serve as the vice president of that association in 2019, and as the president in 2020. Yavas holds a B.A. in business from Bogazici University in Istanbul, Turkey and a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Iowa.

Abstract:
Loan performance varies in two dimensions: default probability and loss given default. While the relationship between securitization and default probability has been studied intensively, the effect of securitization on loss given default remains unexplored. Using a unique dataset containing over forty thousand mortgage liquidations, this paper studies whether, given liquidation, privately securitized loans have different loan losses from portfolio loans. After controlling observable loan characteristics and servicer effect, we find that securitized risky/opaque mortgages incur more than 17 percent (in relatively terms) higher loan losses than observably similar portfolio loans. High quality/transparent loans do not show any difference in loan losses. These results complement earlier empirical studies that reported adverse selection on mortgage securitization with respect to probability of default. We also employ a difference-in-difference analysis using a natural experiment to provide evidence that lax securitization standards pre-crisis contributed to higher loan losses.

For more information please contact IRES at 6516 8288 or 6516 6947